There’s no course in NASCAR quite like Dover International Speedway. The 1-mile concrete monitor in Delaware includes high banks along with multiple grooves, like Bristol’s half-mile layout but with high-banked straightaways.
For handicapping purposes, Dover is a unique track, but results from Bristol ought to be taken into account, as well as tracks that have utilized the 750-horsepower, no-aero duct package this year (more on this below).
It doesn’t appear to matter where NASCAR races this year, Kyle Busch has been one of those top-3 favorites, also he’s the No. 1 power-rated driver for oddsmakers. Busch isn’t only directing the Cup Series in victories (three) this year, but his 10 directly top-10 finishes to start the season has only been achieved by four other drivers, rather than because Morgan Shepherd in 1990.
Busch is a whopping 3/1 to win Sunday’s Gander RV 400 (1 p.m. CT, FS1) and tough to fade considering he has 17 top-10s, including 12 top-5s, in his final 28 series starts at Dover.
Update: The Gander RV 400 has been postponed until Monday at 11 a.m. CT on FS1
Chase Elliott, a week’s winner in Talladega, and slumping contender Kyle Larson were the only two drivers to get their futures chances to win the Cup Series championship adjusted this week. Both drivers are worth fading from the matchups (listed below), nevertheless.
Elliott is the harder market believing he’s the most recent winner in the Monster Mile and has five top-5 endings in six series races in Dover, but Chevrolet has been really disappointing this season outside the superspeedways and we like to fade drivers off wins.
Larson, who has not won a race in the Cup level since the 2017 fall race at Richmond, moved from 20/1 to 25/1 to win November’s title. Larson opened the season 7/1, but enters this weekend’s race in Dover sitting outside of the playoff standings at 21st. Talladega’s crash marked the third time in six races Larson has wrecked from a race. Other results throughout that span comprise a 12th-place showing at Fontana, 18th-place in Martinsville and 19th in Bristol.
Dover rules package, recent results
For the fifth time this season, Cup drivers will race using an engine-producing 750-horsepower without a aero ducts. The four previous races were Phoenix, Martinsville, Bristol, and Richmond, with Joe Gibbs Racing winning three and Brad Keselowski leading 446 of all 500 laps at Martinsville.
Recent Dover winners
2019 autumn: Chase Elliott
2018 spring: Kevin Harvick
2017 autumn: Kyle Busch
2017 spring: Jimmie Johnson
2016 autumn: Martin Truex, Jr..
Odds to win Gander RV 400 in Dover
Opening possibilities Supplied by Westgate SuperBook
Kyle BUSCH 3/1
Kevin HARVICK 4/1
Brad KESELOWSKI 8/1
Martin TRUEX JR 8/1
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Clint BOWYER 12/1
Kurt BUSCH 14/1
Chase ELLIOTT 12/1
Denny HAMLIN 14/1
Aric ALMIROLA 18/1
Ryan BLANEY 20/1
Kyle LARSON 20/1
Erik JONES 25/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 20/1
Daniel SUAREZ 50/1
Austin DILLON 80/1
Ricky STENHOUSE JR 100/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
Alex BOWMAN 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
William BYRON 200/1
Matt DIBENEDETTO 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 300/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 300/1
Daniel HEMRIC 300/1
Ryan PREECE 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 2000/1
David RAGAN 2000/1
FIELD (others) 1000/1
Notable NASCAR betting matchups at Dover
Opening possibilities Supplied by Westgate SuperBook
Kyle BUSCH -125
Kevin HARVICK +105
Denny HAMLIN -110
Kurt BUSCH -110
Kevin HARVICK -140
Brad KESELOWSKI +120
Kurt BUSCH -110
Chase ELLIOTT -110
Brad KESELOWSKI -110
Joey LOGANO -110
Brad KESELOWSKI -110
Martin TRUEX JR -110
Joey LOGANO -110
Martin TRUEX JR -110
Clint BOWYER -110
Kurt BUSCH -110
NASCAR in Dover stakes Opening odds Supplied by Westgate SuperBook
Hamlin (-110) over Elliott
We said fading Elliott above and also our decide to beat him is Hamlin, who is enjoying a resurgent season. Hamlin has completed fifth all four races with Sunday’s package and contains five top-10 finishes in the previous six Dover races, such as a runner-up past fall.
Truex Jr. (-110) over Keselowski
Truex has five top-10s and four top-5s at the previous six Dover races, leading 387 laps in that moment. Truex also finished second at Phoenix on this package and won at Richmond after leading a race-high 186 laps. While Keselowski dominated Martinsville, he’s been 19th at Phoenix, 18th in Bristol, and seventh at Richmond.
Daniel Suarez (-110) over Jimmie Johnson
How the mighty have fallen. Seven-time winner Johnson returns to the site of his latest success, where he’s the sport’s all-time winningest driver with 11 victories. However, Johnson is 16th in the series standings and has fought the last two seasons. Suarez calls Dover his favorite track, and he’s averaging a 6.7 finish over four begins. The Mexico native possesses the fourth-best typical running position among active drivers in Dover and contains the third-most laps in the top 15.
Read more here: http://www.apvconstructeurs.com/2019/09/25/new-ufc-bouts-lined-up-including-tom-breese-vs-ian-heinisch/