After back-to-back Team Penske wins, NASCAR heads to ISM Raceway’s one-mile horizontal trail in Phoenix for the fourth race of the season.
Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano are driving streaks of eight top-12 finishes dating back to last season, but both motorists will take a backseat to the current dominating performances of Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch in Phoenix.
Harvick (9/4) and Busch (7/2) have the shortest odds to win Sunday’s TicketGuardian 500 and both won at the track last season. This weekend, if Harvick were to triumph, he would join an elite group, becoming only the sixth driver in series history to win 10 or more Cup Series races at a single track; linking Richard Petty, Darrell Waltrip, Jimmie Johnson, David Pearson and Dale Earnhardt.
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In three of the previous four Phoenix races, Busch has headed 359 laps, including 117 in his triumph during last year’s playoffs — the first under the new configuration of this track.
Phoenix’s track is similar to Richmond and New Hampshire and it is no surprise both Harvick and Busch have experienced similar success at those racks. Busch has won the last two races in Richmond and the fall race in New Hampshire of 2017. Harvick won the most-recent race in New Hampshire and has finished in the top five in five of the previous six races in Richmond.
But unlike in those preceding races, all motorists will be using a new car installment executed by NASCAR, one different from that which we watched the last two weeks at Atlanta and Las Vegas. Teams may utilize a tapered spacer — and no ducts — for the first time. They’ll use a engine in Phoenix instead of their engine in Vegas. NASCAR expects to find a well-handling car with a faster response time around the throttle. The bundle that is new could close the gap Busch and Harvick have had on the area.
So far in two races with the slightly differing rules package of NASCAR, Ford has five consecutive period wins and has led 65 percent of the laps. Harvick’s teammate, ford driver Aric Almirola, will be a sleeper motorist. He was third at New Hampshire’s similar design last season, fifth at Richmond and fourth last season’s fall race in Phoenix. Almirola is 20/1 to win on Sunday and we enjoy him .
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Odds to win 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in Phoenix
Odds Supplied by Westgate LV SuperBook
Kevin HARVICK 9/4
Kyle BUSCH 7/2
Brad KESELOWSKI 7/1
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Martin TRUEX JR 10/1
Chase ELLIOTT 10/1
Denny HAMLIN 15/1
Kyle LARSON 20/1
Aric ALMIROLA 20/1
Clint BOWYER 25/1
Erik JONES 25/1
Kurt BUSCH 30/1
Ryan BLANEY 30/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 50/1
Austin DILLON 50/1
Alex BOWMAN 50/1
Ricky STENHOUSE JR 50/1
Daniel SUAREZ 60/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
William BYRON 100/1
Daniel HEMRIC 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
Ryan PREECE 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 200/1
Matt DIBENEDETTO 200/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 2000/1
David RAGAN 2000/1
FIELD (all others) 500/1
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