There is nothing greater than just identifying a mismatch where the oddsmakers have made an error and you reap the rewards of an underdog win. But that is a lot easier to say than it is to perform and sometimes it burns you another way when those apparent cut-and-dry favorites cost you money once the underdog brings off that upset.
Among the most shocking upsets of 2018 had arguably the best pound-for-pound fighter Demetrious Johnson losing by unanimous decision to Henry Cejudo (+350) in UFC 227. This does not mean you should be swinging for the fences on every card with a great deal of underdog bets, but just know that there can be money to be made on a well-placed bet.
2018 was a Bounce-Back Year for Underdogs
Underdog victories were on the decline lately, as in 2015 dogs had a winning percentage of 38.5, but in 2017 that percentage dropped to 32. But, there was a bit of a comeback in 2018 that trend has continued into 2019 and as underdogs finished at a 36 winning percentage.
During 19 events this year, underdogs are hitting a rate of 36.8 percent. Most recently, UFC Fight Night Greenville: Moicano vs the Korean Zombie saw puppies acquire five of those 11 fights, earning bettors $205.91 based on a $100 wager on each fight. The biggest upset of the day was about the undercard using Molly McCann (+215) beating Ariane Lipski. Overall this season, the biggest upset is Allen Crowder (+375) over Greg Hardy.
Odds Shark will upgrade the records for underdogs versus favorites broken down each card following each event. Additionally, we’ll break down the gains based on 100 on every underdog vs $100 on every and every favorite.
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