Kentucky Derby co-favorite Omaha Beach (along with Roadster, listed at 7/2 chances on the Westgate SuperBook’s futures board) is coping with a lingering quarter fracture issue that he sustained back at a February race at Santa Anita. The old injury was treated a week with a fresh patch, a new pair of sneakers and has been described as”routine maintenance,” by blacksmith Ben Craft, who has worked on Omaha Beach since the crack was discovered.
The quarter crack should not be an issue. This colt has run well previously with the injury, winning the Rebel Stakes and Arkansas Derby. Trainer Richard Mandella does not play around, and when this horse wasn’t sound and feeling great, he wouldn’t be heading into Louisville.
That being said, an accident is never a good thing about the Triple Crown trail, and even the smallest cut or bruise so near the large race is about.
Still, very few backers of Omaha Beach will jump ship due to his quarter fracture — the injury will have little effect on the wagering.
Where’s the gambling value in Kentucky Derby futures odds?
I believe Omaha Beach will be the post-time favorite from the 2019 Kentucky Derby and will go off at odds between 3/1 and 4/1, therefore the 7/2 futures price provided by the Westgate poses little to no value. The exact same can be stated for Roadster at 7/2, Improbable in 5/1, Maximum Security at 5/1 and Game Winner in 7/1. All these top options have a good prospect of going off at higher odds. Remember, if you bet a horse at the futures and he doesn’t run, you don’t receive your money back as you would on a bet made on Derby Day.
The next tier of costs is a fantastic place to start looking for value. Tacitus and By My Standards are 14/1 here, also if you like those horses, then that seems like a fair price. War of Will in 16/1 and Code of Honor at 18/1 also seem to present decent value, as those chances could be knocked in half by post time.
If you’re looking for a horse with higher odds that might provide value, consider Win Win Win in 30/1. This fellow launched his age-old season with a 7 1/4-length victory from the Pasco Stakes on Jan. 19, breaking the track record. In his last outing, he shut to complete a good second behind Vekoma in the Blue Grass Stakes. In 25/1, this horse is well worth a shot off those efforts.
And if you prefer Win Win Win, you must like Vekoma, winner of the Blue Grass, too. Also at 25/1, Vekoma offers worth.
If you are searching for a 100 horse with a shot, then check out Anothertwistafate (40/1), Haikal (50/1) or Tax (80/1), that have all shown promise and also the potential to jump up and become a star on May 4.
It’s is a wide-open Kentucky Derby this year, and also the preferred will be at least 3/1 at post time. We have to constantly demand value in this match, and if you like one of the top five options in this futures pool, the value just is not there. It’s a wise move.
2019 Kentucky Derby futures chances As of Tuesday, May 23 in Westgate
Omaha Beach 7/2
Roadster 7/2
Improbable 5/1
Maximum Security 5/1
Game Winner 7/1
Tacitus 14/1
By My Standards 14/1
War Of Will 16/1
Code Of Honor 18/1
Vekoma 25/1
Spinoff 25/1
Win Win Win 30/1
Anothertwistafate 40/1
Haikal 50/1
Extended Range Toddy 50/1
Tax 80/1
Cutting Humor 80/1
Country House 80/1
Plus Que Parfait 100/1
Gray Magician 100/1
Bodeexpress 100/1
Master Fencer 100/1
Signalman 100/1
Sueno 300/1
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