Basketball and betting have more in common than you might think. In order to succeed at either pursuit, it helps to have a proven system. In the case of basketball, obtaining a reliable offensive scheme that you can roll out every game regardless of the matchup gives you a leg-up. Think Mike D’Antoni’s free-flowing space-and-pace attack or Jerry Sloan’s nearly unbeatable pick-and-roll crime in the 1980s and 90s.
When it comes to gambling, you can gain the same sort of advantage by having a tightly defined set of principles which it is possible to use to every single match irrespective of who is on the court.
Luckily, you do not have to create your own betting strategy from scratch. There are already a few recognized strategies which you can try on for size when you put down wagers on your favorite teams, and there is no rule against pilfering in the playbooks of those who arrived before you. We have included a number of the most dependable systems and money-management strategies below, together with insights on the best way best to use them. When coupled with an understanding of the game, these systems can help turn rookie betters into all-stars.
The Top Totals System
Few approaches are easier to understand and use than the High Totals System made by Allen Moody, a sports-betting professional and also the author of Becoming a Winning Gambler and Sports Betting Basics. Moody discovered that sportsbooks often underestimate game totals for NBA non-conference games, and began taking the over on all matches using an over/under of 220 total points. It’s a very simple strategy, but it paid off as he had been correct 63.5percent of the time for all games meeting that standards from 2004-05 to 2008-09.
Those sorts of games were rarities a decade before, but they’re getting more common today as teams push the speed and drain more three-pointers. Back in 2004-05, NBA teams scored an average of 97.2 points each match. That number jumped to 100.0 in 2008-09 and climbed all the way to 105.6 in 2016-17. Sportsbooks have gotten savvy for this tendency, but there is still worth to be seen by taking the above in games with particularly high total-point projections.
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